2.2 Evaluation of the popularity of groups of specialties and educational programs

If we indicate the average annual share of entrants’ applications to the university by group of specialties, educational programs – and, as SAEUi (column 4, Table 2.13), and the average annual share of vacancies by the i-th group of specialties, educational programs in the regional labor market, as SVi, (column 3, Table 2.13), then the assessment of the validity of demand AVDUi will be equal to the difference (column 6, Table 2.13):

Then:

  • if AVDUi is less than or equal to ±1.5 %, then the demand of entrants for the i – that group of specialties, educational programs corresponds to the supply of the labor market;
  • if AVDUi has a negative value and less – 1.5 %, the demand of entrants for the i-th group of specialties, educational programs is insufficient and does not meet the supply of the labor market (and – a group of specialties, educational programs is underestimated by entrants);
  • if AVDUі has a positive value and more than 1.5 %, then the demand of entrants for the i-th group of specialties, educational programs is excessive and exceeds the supply of the labor market (and – a group of specialties, educational programs overestimated by entrants).

Let’s mark the average annual share of entrants’ applications to the HEIs of Ukraine by group of specialties, i-th educational programs as SEASi (column 5, Table 2.13), then the assessment of the validity of demand AVDSi will be equal to the difference (column 7, Table 2.13):

Then:

  • if AVDSі is less than or equal to ±1.5 %, then the demand of entrants for the i – that group of specialties, educational programs corresponds to the supply of the regional labor market;
  • if AVDSі has a negative value and less – 1.5 %, the demand of entrants for the i-th group of specialties, educational programs is insufficient and does not meet the supply of the regional labor market (and – a group of specialties, educational programs is underestimated by entrants);
  • if AVDSі has a positive value and more than 1.5 %, then the demand of entrants for the i-th group of specialties, educational programs is excessive and exceeds the supply of the regional labor market (and – and the group of specialties, educational programs overestimated by entrants).

Analysis of the validity of the demand of university entrants for groups of specialties, educational programs (column 6, Table 2.13) shows that there is a significant underestimation of some of them in the regional labor market. Underestimation is in the following groups of specialties, educational programs: «Entrepreneurship, trade and exchange activities», «management», «accounting and auditing», «business economics», «economic cybernetics and applied statistics». The value of the validity of demand for them (AVDUi) varies from –3.95 % to –12.92 %. The most underestimated is the specialty «management», for which AVDUi = –12.95 %.

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